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Old 09-22-2020, 12:48 PM   #181
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If it's any consolation to archi, I've been using "Panic Porn" every chance I can in daily conversation.
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Old 09-22-2020, 01:02 PM   #182
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Removed for political content

Why oh why would he do that???
Two weeks! sCieNce!!!
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Old 09-22-2020, 01:16 PM   #183
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Two weeks! sCieNce!!!
https://www.bbc.com/news/uk-54241580
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Old 09-22-2020, 01:38 PM   #184
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"At the moment we think the epidemic is doubling roughly every seven days.
"If, and that's quite a big if, but if that continues unabated, and this grows, doubling every seven days... if that continued you would end up with something like 50,000 cases in the middle of October per day.
"Fifty-thousand cases per day would be expected to lead a month later, so the middle of November say, to 200-plus deaths per day.
"The challenge, therefore, is to make sure the doubling time does not stay at seven days.
"That requires speed, it requires action and it requires enough in order to be able to bring that down."
Like I said. Monitor and when the growth rate exceeds acceptable levels then move to more restrictions.

Ebb and flow

If you can dodge a wrench, you can dodge Covid.
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Old 09-23-2020, 10:05 AM   #185
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Like I said. Monitor and when the growth rate exceeds acceptable levels then move to more restrictions.

Ebb and flow

If you can dodge a wrench, you can dodge Covid.
Being "proactive" is not considered "bad."
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Old 09-23-2020, 10:26 AM   #186
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Being "proactive" is not considered "bad."
and you're proactive by setting the ceiling low.
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Old 09-23-2020, 11:30 AM   #187
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Georgia vs other states today



Georgia doesn't stand out as exceptional here. Case rate decline has been better than the US average, but remains somewhat higher. Its case-fatality rate is close to the US average.

"Tri State" is New York, New Jersey, and Connecticut, which achieved herd immunity in June and has had a new-case rate that is roughly flat and < 5 per 100K since then.

Data is from The COVID Tracking Project. The US total from this source is lower than from other sources, but I've used it for consistency.
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Old 09-23-2020, 11:54 AM   #188
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"Tri State" is New York, New Jersey, and Connecticut, which achieved herd immunity in June and has had a new-case rate that is roughly flat and < 5 per 100K since then.
yeah, I don't think so
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Old 09-23-2020, 12:17 PM   #189
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yeah, I don't think so
Dude it's over nobody gives a shit anymore and most people are realizing this was the biggest scam ever. This covid forum is dead because no one is scared anymore of the china flu.

Indiana goes to stage 5 this weekend where everything opens up...so just wait 2 weeks there until 50,000 dead.
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Old 09-23-2020, 01:01 PM   #190
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Only time will tell.

Problem is, once you're in the shit. It's on average 56 days to get out of it.
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Old 09-23-2020, 02:14 PM   #191
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Dude it's over nobody gives a shit anymore and most people are realizing this was the biggest scam ever. This covid forum is dead because no one is scared anymore of the china flu.

Indiana goes to stage 5 this weekend where everything opens up...so just wait 2 weeks there until 50,000 dead.


I'm glad only your choir listens to you....
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Old 09-23-2020, 06:23 PM   #192
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I agree. Let's list the States with the most deaths per million resident:

1. New Jersey 1,823
2. New York 1,706
3. Massachusetts 1,352
4. Connecticut 1,261
5. Louisiana 1,156
...
16. Georgia 622
US Average 617

Weird.
Cherry picking, as usual.
If you looked at the other part, Georgia is #5 of all states for Cases/Million.

I suspect that there has been some data handled to different standards than other states, unless it's the later surge with lessons learned from the other states that they've benefitted from. Or, it could be that they got far more of the only effective drug out there...for whatever reason.
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Graph and Table I built for seeing state Covid19 data:
Covid19 Visualization graph and table. **NOTE** Using John Hopkins data data, shows State, Country & County data.

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Old 09-23-2020, 07:05 PM   #193
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don't know what you all think about Reuters but they do seem to have a lower case and death count then some. They do however indicate both cases and deaths have started to rise recently.

https://graphics.reuters.com/HEALTH-...kpb/index.html

New cases rose 17% to about 287,000 for the week ended Sept. 20, while deaths rose 5.5% to about 5,400 people after falling for the previous four weeks, according to a Reuters analysis of state and county reports.

Thirteen states have seen weekly infections rise for at least two weeks, up from nine states the previous week, according to the Reuters tally. In Arizona

, new cases doubled last week.

On average, more than 776 people a day died from COVID-19 last week, with deaths rising in Arkansas
, Kansas and Virginia.

To think were out of the woods seems premature to me.
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Old 09-23-2020, 08:45 PM   #194
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To think were out of the woods seems premature to me.
Get outta here with that Panic Porn!
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Old 09-24-2020, 08:35 AM   #195
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Is that the latest panic porn estimate that'll be wrong as well?

Michael Osterholm said on August 11 that we were going to have 'an explosion' of cases in September that will far surpass what we saw after Memorial Day. Strangely, we have not.

And while the media is panic porning us with claims of 'big spike in the last week', the reality is that it was only due to a dip in reporting around the Labor Day holiday. If you straight line from a week before a week after, the seven day trend line of cases and deaths is down, not up. It's decline has stalled, but it's not going up yet.

But carry on. 350,000? Why not go with 500,000. With the 250,000 people that got Covid due to Sturgis , we could easily hit 750,000 by inauguration day. It's the new liberal math.
Cases still going down eh. Hasnít that been you message since this thing started

Nationwide cases down to only 7 million now. Theyíll likely be down even lower to just 10 million by Christmas.
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