... it all boils down to cash flow. how much money do you need to live on - and where is that money going to come from? the sooner you know the answer to that question, the more time you have to make any changes required to influence the output of the models.
can’t recommend enough to engage the services of a professional to run the numbers for you (caveat being - there’s a lot of total piece of shit FA’s out there - keep looking until you find a really good one - recommend gathering multiple proposals to manage your finances and select the one that provides the most clear and crisp solution - most sensible among them).
I like your response, especially the emphasis on your ability to influence the outcome.
I agree it makes sense to pay a visit to a financial advisor who is a fiduciary, years in advance of planned retirement date to see what kind of options are out there beyond your own knowledge or comfort level.