Outliers
This is one of the more comical threads you boys have produced in a while. Serious levels outside your "normal" don't know what you are talking about--I'll come back to this in a bit. First lets talk about outliers for those are the ones that can make it on to the world stage, and there is a specific path for which they can travel to that end.
Malcolm Gladwell, in 2008, had a book published that explains in a clear fashion (on a level that nearly anyone can digest), about the concept in his book
Outliers. If you have yet to avail yourself the pleasure of reading this book, and you are truly interested in why America isn't performing at a high level on the world stage in road racing go get and read this book--if you still don't get it then read book again until concept starts to sink in and you develop enlightenment. The basic premise of Gladwell's book, and the concept of outliers is that it takes opportunity for anyone to develop an ability to a high level where they can compete at the top of their field. To understand the rational for this read his book.
Do we in America present this opportunity to our potential riders? To get a good understanding of what this opportunity is watch this
Marc Márquez documentary from 2010. This will give you an easily established understanding of what a world champion (he is now twice a world champion) goes through on his path to be that world champion. If we compare this to the research presented in Gladwell's book we can see how his concepts are clearly addressed in Márquez's march to the championship. So do we present this opportunity here in the States? Well, yes and no.
We actually do have some opportunities for young riders in the States--there is Stony Landers's
MiniMoto, there's Youngs Lee's
M1GP, and
Ozzy Saez out in Florida for years helped bring in bikes, equipment, and promoted races at the same level as can be found in Europe. Ozzy even placed riders onto the world stage with Rookies Cup entries. Also of note: this coming week Keith Code is hosting his very first
MiniMoto school--there are people working hard to create this opportunity to develop outliers.
So there is a scene, however were you to listen to folks like the ones in this thread (who even have a passing interest), then you would find they are clueless as to what's going on in the States--and because there is so much cluelessness it is as if the scene doesn't exist. In addition to this cluelessness there is the serious bias about what kind of bike a person should get when starting out. If all you were to do is look at forums like
teh Barf you'd come out believing that if you were manly you get at least a 650, and if you were wimpy you'd start out on a Ninja 250. This attitude has a serious negative effect on the promotion of helping to develop new and young riders--if we compare this to dirt riders, where we can clearly see a high level of performance on the world stage by American riders, we don't see people starting out on bikes with a proportional amount of weight and displacement. Because of this inverted attitude with road bikes we don't have a selection of bikes needed to support new and young riders outside of what folks like Ozzy have brought into the States.
Lets address the chest puffers that make claim that Americans are competing at a high level on the world stage of road racing--sure they'll bring up Hayden and Spies--okay that's two (who did by the way start out on small bikes, and are as Gladwell would call outliers). The
Red Bull Rookies Cup (as addressed previously) is an excellent measure of what we are contributing because it has a proven track record of placing racers onto the world stage in MotoGP. Last year from California we had
Joel Roberts who started out in the dirt and after 7 years of racing made it to the Rookies Cup in 2011, and again in 2012. In 2012 he had two podiums and mostly a bunch of unremarkable races which garnered enough points to place him 8th in the championship--in 2011 he actually did win one of the races. How does that compare to the Euro riders? I'll let you research that yourself, but it doesn't take an great intellectual power to figure it out--he's not winning. For 2013 we have Bay Area rider Anthony Alonso representing, and I sincerely hope he makes us proud--however so far we've really had very little to show in that arena, and it mirrors most of the world level of road racing.
How about technology? One of you voiced this as the reason we aren't producing champions. In the late nineties and early naughties thanks to folks like Ozzy out east, Derbi USA in Portland, Calimari in Salinas, and Spi-Parts in Los Gatos, people could actually purchase world class level bikes for new and young riders. For a number of reasons--partially due to Piaggio's consolidation of many of the Euro bikes, and their decision to not market the small displacement motorcycles in the States--it has become more of a challenge to get proper equipment--harder, but it is still possible, and there are organizations of folks that have made an effort to support these endeavors.
So we've learned that technology hasn't always been the main reason we aren't competitive. We've also seen that there is a support system (however haggard) in place, and we know what it takes to places riders onto the world stage. The one big issue keeping America from having stronger representation is our inverted attitude about what is a reasonable first bike, and what sorts of bikes should be marketed to new and young riders in order to help create the opportunity for outliers in road racing. Until that attitude sees some seriously adjustment, and we begin to properly support the opportunities for the young and new riders it is highly improbable that we'll develop much in the way of outlier representation on the world stage of road racing.