I'd be shocked if Karlsson signs with the Sharks. I'd be happy, but surprised. I see him signing with an East Coast big market team.
probably.
I think the only way he stays is with another 1 year deal, because he feels like he didn't give the Sharks a full shake on his previous deal (which he didn't, let's be honest). Hockey players can be strange like that.
He'll definitely want to go to a contender. The Sharks are a contender, so there's that. It's possible, but most likely he'll want 10+million a year and with this deep lineup I'm not sure if Doug Wilson would purge other veterans or risk losing our younger guys who will be commanding significant contracts soon in order to pay him.
It'll be up to Jumbo if he wants to keep playing. He's ok with a 3rd line role and not making top bank, so there's room for him if he's willing.
I cannot imagine Doug will let Pavs go. He's pretty loyal with guys until well after the writing has been on the wall (see: Marleau, Patrick).
Jones...well, he's ours still. Which may be another reason why Doug will try to lure Karlsson to stay. If not him, then another blue chip dman, hopefully. The recipe was right for the year, just ran into too much injury.
as Doug says every year: no rebuild. retool and reload, and get back at it.
Good luck to the Blues.