knowing about all of the financial and economic factors that lead to a recession
Seems to be a pattern here... each day a wild swing in the opposite direction from the previous day. Think I'm gonna start day trading.![]()
is very important.
This economist is on record for warning of recession and predicting the 2008 crisis 6 years before it happened.

How do you decide to take a loss and move on or double down?
I’m in 700 shares on TGOD for avg price of $5.16. Pot stocks been tanking for 2 weeks roughly and it’s hovering at $2.40. Down more than half. If I do another 700 bug at current price I just need to get to $3.50 or so to break even but that would require putting $1600 more in.
I could sell, take the loss and put the sale amount into something else that I want.
TGOD is an ‘organic’ producer however the facilty they plan to go produce won’t be done until mid 2019 at the earliest. I feel that’s too late in the game and current cannabis companies will pass them up. Unless they get invested in, I see them hovering for a long time at current price while others that have production go up.

i react to that the same way as someone telling the same story, to every generation, that in everyone's lifetime, we will witness Jesus walk on earth again ...
How do you decide to take a loss and move on or double down?
Id dump it if I could use the loss against gains you made elsewhere.
You can. Cap losses can offset up to $3k of ordinary income as a deduction.

So he was only off by 6 years? Okay, if I call a recession now, and it happens six years from now, I get credit for being a great prognosticator?![]()
Well, his real gem of prediction was calling the housing/mortgage meltdown, starting around 2006. That's what all those "Peter Schiff Was Right" vids & articles were about. Of course, predicting "recession" with any sort of timeframe is futile, given how absolutely rigged everything is.
No one should be relied upon for the timing of micro-economic events... but when it comes to a macro view of the Fed's policies, these manipulated casino-like markets and the artificial economy in general, there really is no one more spot on in my opinion.
Boom cycles and bust cycles. We have not had a true bust in quite some time. The dot com bubble and housing bubble were mere pre-cursors to the real bust that has been artificially delayed for decades now. After all the day's tricks and treats have been used, the powers that be typically employ war/violence as the ultimate catalyst (scapegoat) for economic collapse.
Regardless how and when it manifests, the Everything Bubble will pop. It must. US Dollar, sovereign debt, all of it. Thinking this is just run-of-the-mill doomsaying... believing times are different now, or "it could never happen here"... it's all precisely the same as fiddling while Rome burned.
Apparently you forgot 2008-09