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Stock Thread 2018

This.

I saved and set up what I call an income stream* for my retirement. So far everything is working. I will be 68 and be looking at RMD from tax-deferred accounts in two years. I have been withdrawing for 8 years to keep the RMD lower. I am already on a higher income than when I retired. The RMD will kick my taxes up to a higher rate. Still better to have to pay the tax than not have the money.

Sounds like a good problem to have. But the new lower tax brackets should help, no? And the point remains that you can put more before-tax dollars into savings than after-tax dollars.
 
Sure. Regular IRA is typically funded with earned money, which you do NOT have to pay taxes on. If you put $3k in your IRA today, and start pulling it out when you turn 70, you will be taxed at whatever rate is in effect at age 70.

ROTH IRA is funded with taxed money, you can't deduct it. If you put $3k in one today, you have to pay taxes on that income, or rather, you can't write off that income. BUT, when you turn 70 you pay no taxes on withdrawls.

So regular IRA earns money tax free but you must pay taxes on withdrawls.
ROTH IRA earns money tax free and you pay no taxes on withdrawls.

From my point of view, at retirement age, it's super nice to pull money out of the IRA, tax free. Every penny I take from an IRA is taxed.

And to further clarify, Roth tax free withdrawals can start at age 59 1/2, provided you meet the 5 year rule. Roths aren't subject to RMDs for the owner, but the inherited IRA rules are triggered upon death of the owner. Roths are great for estate planning.
 
I just became a part of calpers. I will eventually get retirement from liuna and I have a 401k setup through my employer as well.

I have never looked into ira's or Roths.

You can only put in one set amount of money and it matures over say 20 years or so?

So if i put in 5000 bucks how much would it be worth when i retire?

You can donate every year.

Your $5000 would be worth whatever you invested it in . So if you bought $5k worth of IBM, and it doubled, it would be worth $10k. If you bought $5k worth of IBM and it halved, your investment would be worth $2.5k.
 
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Pot stocks getting hammered lately. Doing research on stocks is pain in the ass! Any sites recommended?
 
Sounds like a good problem to have. But the new lower tax brackets should help, no? And the point remains that you can put more before-tax dollars into savings than after-tax dollars.

This, plus you know they won't change the rules on you 30 years later
 
This bull run can't last, it has the aroma of "irrational exuberance" all over again. Thoughts and opinions?
 
This bull run can't last, it has the aroma of "irrational exuberance" all over again. Thoughts and opinions?

Everybody keeps saying that, and there are ten articles a week about how the sky is about to fall, but nobody can find anything else to do with their money so it keeps steadily climbing.

All the financial people are pretty confused too. It’s the longest bull market in US history, nobody trusts it, but they’re all scared to miss the ride.
 
Everybody keeps saying that, and there are ten articles a week about how the sky is about to fall, but nobody can find anything else to do with their money so it keeps steadily climbing.

All the financial people are pretty confused too. It’s the longest bull market in US history, nobody trusts it, but they’re all scared to miss the ride.

Pretty much. There's a lot of money floating around that needs to be somewhere. I think many investors would love to find a better place to put it... the crypto craze is surely one symptom of that... but so far there isn't one.

Equities seem to mostly go up and down in unison, but nevertheless I try to focus on value, and international where P/E ratios are more sane.

Failing to invest is also risky. If there's ever a sense that the U.S. might default on its debt, the dollar's value will plummet. With current political direction that's ever more worrying.
 
Bonds have been taking a dump lately, and may continue doing so, so really if you want a hedge against stocks, CD's are the only safe choice. I wouldn't try shorting the market or buying one of those short/inverse funds, since it stands to reason they go down more often than they go up.
 
Pretty much. There's a lot of money floating around that needs to be somewhere. I think many investors would love to find a better place to put it... the crypto craze is surely one symptom of that... but so far there isn't one.

Equities seem to mostly go up and down in unison, but nevertheless I try to focus on value, and international where P/E ratios are more sane.

Failing to invest is also risky. If there's ever a sense that the U.S. might default on its debt, the dollar's value will plummet. With current political direction that's ever more worrying.

About 2/3 of my retirement account is specified date funds, like 2050 or something. It’s fairly aggressive, reasonably balanced between US and foreign, and I can sleep well at night knowing it’s automatic and low cost. . The remaining third is individual stock picks (I look like a genius because Long bull market :laughing) and a foreign small cap value fund. That one gets me into some interesting stuff, Greek banks with a P/E of like 2.5, Russian oil companies, etc. It’s entertaining.
 
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Couple of major investment advisors are including crypto in their asset class recommendations, but only to the portion it represents of the world market. For example (made up numbers) there’s $100 trillion dollars in the world, and crypto total value is $500B, so it should be 0.5% of your holdings.
 
Pot stocks getting hammered lately. Doing research on stocks is pain in the ass! Any sites recommended?

Subscribe to Barrons, Wall Street Journal, Briefing.com, Seeking Alpha, and Morningstar. If you use Schwab they have a great content source.

Pot stocks will be volatile indefinitely.
 
Couple of major investment advisors are including crypto in their asset class recommendations, but only to the portion it represents of the world market. For example (made up numbers) there’s $100 trillion dollars in the world, and crypto total value is $500B, so it should be 0.5% of your holdings.

Good stuff.
 
Good stuff.


Good stuff is being a prescient and early contrarian, anticipating the future flows of capital, rather than a status quo following always late to the game sheeple.

So here is a contrarian tip, thinking back to the person asking about CalPERS and what their $5000 will be worth in the distant retirement future.

The current US econo-political system that depends on the perpetual and geometrically increasing levels of debt, and the enforcement of the petrodollar arrangement through endless corruption, invasion, US-orchestrated terrorism, and war, is not sustainable.

The multi-decadal trade deficit is not sustainable. We cannot forever hand the world green paper while taking the fruits of their child labor factories.

The continued perverse accumulation of wealth into a very few hands is not sustainable. There is - ipso facto - no democracy anywhere.

So.. the obligations of CalPERS (and indeed the US) cannot be repaid on terms favorable to their counterparties. The only possible outcomes - as with every empire, every paper currency - are default and/or inflation.

If the elites desire crisis and blood in the streets (and to give Trump the finger) and to buy up the last shreds of assets around the country with their bottomless Fed-funded pockets, so that everyone is a renter, they will trigger a deflationary implosion that will wipe out all markets.

All that has to happen for this to occur, is for the Fed to stop buying Treasuries. There is no other buyer for this 2.8% over 30 years bullshit, that's already below the non-liar rate of inflation. If they stop monetizing debt, the everything-bubble is done and then we're in for a real fun time.

If the elites feel magnanimous toward the sheeple on their wall-less plantations (i.e. the bit outside the prison-industrial complex), they will just inflate like hell and everything will be "paid back". If you need to see what looks like, history is replete with nothing but these sorts of outcomes.

So, "new to CalPERS" poster, the answer is that you cannot realistically look to the old arrangements to take care of you in the future. People clinging to normalcy biases will experience the most pain in times of transition.
 

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