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Stock Thread 2019
- Thread starter afm199
- Start date
FXCLM5
bombaclaud
for your track bikea lil late but did you see wtf beyonce did?
fuck wished my significant other had the knowhow/balls/desire to do that - she traded a $6 mil performance for uber stock back in 15 and now when it ipo'ed, her 6 became 300 mil
arty
fuck wished my significant other had the knowhow/balls/desire to do that - she traded a $6 mil performance for uber stock back in 15 and now when it ipo'ed, her 6 became 300 mil
arty
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afm199
Well-known member
My take on the current market is that stocks are going to be in the doldrums for a while, and bonds will do well. The Saint Louis head Fed, Bullard, just said a rate cut is imminent. Apparently good old QE is alive and well.
yeah, inflation is below 2%. the fed doesn't feel the threat of inflation right now.
meanwhile morgan stanley predicts a recession in 9 months if the stuff about the tariffs drags on ...
i buy more of which ETFs are doing well in my portfolio. right now, the bond ETFs are doing so much better
meanwhile morgan stanley predicts a recession in 9 months if the stuff about the tariffs drags on ...
i buy more of which ETFs are doing well in my portfolio. right now, the bond ETFs are doing so much better
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afm199
Well-known member
Yup, ditto. I've been smiling about that, I got out of about 1/3 of my equity positions for bond ETF's a little while back.
Ducky_Fresh
Treasure Hunter
Might need to wait for a little recover after this week and last..
How about lithium mining and manufacturing in Australia, now that China is going to cut down on production? Lots of possibilities and opportunities in the supply chain
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alien
I got one foot out my office window, thinking about jumping
afm199
Well-known member
Must be smiling today
rodr
Well-known member
I think you mean rare earth elements? China is not a major lithium producer. With rare earths you're in a world of geopolitical price manipulation and I have no clue.
you're keeping me on my feet, rodr!
I was driving around this weekend, listening to the tail-end of a news-talk radio interview. about China slowing down on the mining and manufacturing of some elements that are crucial in the manufacturing of electronics.
I erroneously connected that to the recent talk about Australia's advantage of being a lithium producer for batteries which China is an importer of
https://www.bloomberg.com/news/features/2019-06-03/lithium-miners-australia-chile-see-riches-as-ev-battery-makers
... all I know is, there is so much change going on, it would be too time-consuming for me to ever stay on top of which business is succeeding and which businesses are at the mercy of the supplier of "ingredients" of what they produce. that's why i never invest in individual stocks in companies. i don't have the time to analyze which companies will be impacted by changes beyond their control.
I was driving around this weekend, listening to the tail-end of a news-talk radio interview. about China slowing down on the mining and manufacturing of some elements that are crucial in the manufacturing of electronics.
I erroneously connected that to the recent talk about Australia's advantage of being a lithium producer for batteries which China is an importer of
https://www.bloomberg.com/news/features/2019-06-03/lithium-miners-australia-chile-see-riches-as-ev-battery-makers
... all I know is, there is so much change going on, it would be too time-consuming for me to ever stay on top of which business is succeeding and which businesses are at the mercy of the supplier of "ingredients" of what they produce. that's why i never invest in individual stocks in companies. i don't have the time to analyze which companies will be impacted by changes beyond their control.
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Ducky_Fresh
Treasure Hunter
It feels like last summer. Turbulent but generally flat with lots of money changing hands. Things should calm down as summer ends then in to the dumps but this time no gimmick rescue plans.
I keep hearing a lot about how things are drastically over valued and lots of dot com comparisons. Kind of makes sense with Uber or lyft or crowd strike or slack or zoom. These companies shouldn’t be worth $15-30B with $100-400m in revenue. It’s insane shit for small magnitude revenue. Nothing like amazon at 100x but 30B in revenue years ago...
I’ll be taking a hard look at those stable funds since we’re hitting peaks. I mean where the fuck does this stop going up???
I keep hearing a lot about how things are drastically over valued and lots of dot com comparisons. Kind of makes sense with Uber or lyft or crowd strike or slack or zoom. These companies shouldn’t be worth $15-30B with $100-400m in revenue. It’s insane shit for small magnitude revenue. Nothing like amazon at 100x but 30B in revenue years ago...
I’ll be taking a hard look at those stable funds since we’re hitting peaks. I mean where the fuck does this stop going up???
Ducky_Fresh
Treasure Hunter
PS- Someone remind me what happens when we go to war? Generally a false stimulus at the beginning then recession due to uncertainty, followed by good times post “recovery”?
Entoptic
Red Power!
It's above the 200 however large volume candles are all red and it's also at the top of the range. If it break through then you should see some good gains however since it is at the top of the range the risk is large. It couldn't break past this point from Dec 16' to Oct 17' which means a lot of resistance is at that level and the fake breakout on the weekly and three daily candles of red don't make it look so hot.
I'll post pics later to back up my view. What was your reason for investing? I haven’t looked into this too much and this is my first thought on it. Is there news on it?
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Entoptic
Red Power!
Very interesting topic.
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Ducky_Fresh
Treasure Hunter
Does anyone else speculate this recession before summer ends? What can we hypothesize it looking like?
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alien
The last 8 years people have been preaching recession and market being overbought.
It's been engineered for gains using every tool available. Will probably end bad at some point but I think it still has legs until the election is over.
It's been engineered for gains using every tool available. Will probably end bad at some point but I think it still has legs until the election is over.
Entoptic
Red Power!
I agree. The writing is on the wall however I don't see anything coming anytime soon. The cracks are starting to appear but I don't see any momentum yet, it's building.